Archive for February, 2017

11th Inning Podcast Episode 10: Mariners Game Show

Thank you all for listening to our ridiculous and informative game show.

This is the brainchild of my offseason restlessness and my love for a franchise that has been dreadful for far too many seasons. But that makes the show more fun, both as a reminder that the 2017 season has the potential to exorcise demons and as a reminder that Jeremy freakin’ Reed was at the center of two of the biggest trades in Mariners history. With Jeremy Reed in mind, here are the Game Show questions and potential point totals for each answers. REED it and weep.

KING FELIX CATEGORY

  1. Which pitcher did Felix hit a grand slam off of on June 23, 2008? (24 seconds) (5 points)

Answer: Johan Santana (5 points)

  1. This will be the 11th straight Opening Day start for Felix Hernandez. Who was the last Mariners Opening Day Starter before Felix took the reins? (24 seconds)

Answer: Jamie Moyer, 2006 (10 points)

  1. Who was catching for Felix Hernandez during his perfect game on August 15, 2012? (24 seconds)

Answer: John Jaso (10 points)

  1. What is Felix’s middle name? (24 seconds)

Answer: Abraham (10 points)

  1. Felix won the Cy Young Award in 2010. He has finished second in the Cy Young voting twice, in 2009 and 2014. Who are the two guys he lost to in those years? (24 seconds)

Answers: Zack Greinke (2009) and Corey Kluber (2014) (5 points each)

  1. Felix Hernandez threw a 1-hit shutout at Fenway Park on April 11, 2007 against a very hyped starting pitcher. Who was this hyped Red Sox counterpart that day? (24 seconds)

Answer: Daisuke Matsuzaka (10 points)

LEADERS CATEGORY

HR leaders 2007-2016 (24 seconds each)

2016: Nelson Cruz (43) 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2015: Nelson Cruz (44) 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2014: Kyle Seager (25) 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2013: Raul Ibañez (29) 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2012: Kyle Seager (20) 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2011: Miguel Olivo (19) 10 points by year, -5 points by name

2010: Russell Branyan (15) 10 points by year, 1 point by name

2009: Russell Branyan (31) 10 points by year, 1 point by name

2008: Adrian Beltre (25) 10 points by year, 1 point by name

2007: Adrian Beltre (26) 10 points by year, 1 point by name

2007-16 Saves leaders 2007-2016 (24 seconds each)

2016: Steve Cishek (25) 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2015: Fernando Rodney (16) 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2014: Fernando Rodney (48) 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2013: Tom Wilhelmsen (24) 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2012: Tom Wilhelmsen (29) 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2011: Brandon League (37) 10 points by year, 1 point by name

2010: David Aardsma (31) 10 points by year, 1 point by name

2009: David Aardsma (38) 10 points by year, 1 point by name

2008: JJ Putz (15) 10 points by year, 1 point by name

2007: JJ Putz (40) 10 points by year, 1 point by name

2007-16 steals leaders (24 seconds each) *This category has less points for the older seasons, unlike the rest of these category questions.

2016: Leonys Martín (24) — 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2015: Austin Jackson (15) — 10 points by year, 1 point by name

2014: James Jones (27) — 10 points by year, 1 points by name

2013: Michael Saunders (13) — 10 points by year, 5 points by name

2012: Michael Saunders (21) — 10 points by year, 5 points by name

2011: Ichiro (40) — 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2010: Ichiro (42) 5 points and Chone Figgins (42) -7 points by name

2009: Ichiro (26) — 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2008: Ichiro (43) — 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2007: Ichiro (37) — 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2007-2016 fWAR leaders (second place to Felix for six of these seasons) (24 seconds each)

2016: Robinson Cano (6.0) – 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2015: Nelson Cruz (4.8) — 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2014: Felix Hernandez (6.1), Kyle Seager (5.4) — 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2013: Felix Hernandez (5.7), Kyle Seager (4.0) — 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2012: Felix Hernandez (6.1), Kyle Seager (3.6) — 5 points by year, 1 point by name

2011: Felix Hernandez (4.8), Michael Pineda (3.2) — 10 points by year, 5 points by name

2010: Felix Hernandez (5.9), Ichiro (4.7) — 10 points by year, 1 point by name

2009: Felix Hernandez (6.2), Franklin Gutierrez (6.0) — 10 points by year, 5 points by name

2008: Ichiro (4.2) — 9 points by year, 1 point by name

2007: Ichiro (6.1) — 10 points by year, 1 point by name

VIDEO GAME CATEGORY

  1. Who was the leadoff hitter for the Mariners on Ken Griffey, JR. baseball for N64? (24 seconds)

Answer: Joey Cora (5 points)

  1. Name 3 of the first 5 pitchers listed in the Mariners bullpen on Ken Griffey, JR. baseball (24 seconds)

Answers:

Bobby Ayala (7.29 ERA, 63 ERA+, in 62 games)

Tony Fossas (8.74 ERA, 55 ERA+, in 23 games)

Paul Spoljaric (6.48 ERA, 71 ERA+, in 53 games)

Mike Timlin (2.95 ERA, 155 ERA+, in 70 games)

Heathcliff Slocumb (5.32 ERA, 86 ERA+, 57 games)

(15 points for 3 guys, 20 points for 4 guys, 25 points for 5 guys)

  1. Which esteemed Mariners Minor League manager was on the bench for the Mariners in Ken Griffey Baseball for N64? (24 seconds)

Answer: Pat Listach (10 points)

  1. Who was the Mariners starting shortstop on MVP Baseball 2005? (20 seconds)

Answer: Pokey Reese (10 points)

  1. Randy Winn is the starting left fielder for the Mariners in MVP Baseball 2005. Who did the Mariners trade IRL to acquire Randy Winn?

Answer: Lou Piniella. Winn was compensation for Lou managing the Rays. (15 points)

  1. There was a made-up AAA player in the Mariners system in MVP Baseball 2005 who wasn’t rated too highly but had a ton of hot spots in his hitting zone. What was his name? (24 seconds)

Answer: Ryan Riley (20 points)

RAP LINES CATEGORY

1.”One for the money, yes sir, two for the show. A couple of years ago on Headland and Delow” Elevators (Me & You) — Outkast

Name the two pitchers acquired from Atlanta in the Alex Jackson trade this offseason. (24 seconds)

Answer: Max Povse, Rob Whalen. (5 points each)

2.”Like the Energizer Bunny

With a battery pack

Boy that chopper keep drumming

Like brrrat-at-at-tat

Or Brrrump-bum-bum-bum

And I’m so young

But I’m a Giant like Fe-Fi-Fo-Fum” Back on my Grizzy — Lil Wayne

Who is the youngest player on the Mariners current depth chart? (24 seconds)

Answer: Edwin Diaz, 10 points

3.”Got a pocket full of money. Kinda hard to keep my pants up” Watch Out — 2 Chainz

In 2005, this player signed the richest free agent contract in Mariners history (24 seconds)

Answer: Adrian Beltre, 10 points

4.”No one man should have all that power. The clock’s ticking I just count the hours. Stop trippin I’m trippin off the power.”  Power — Kanye west

Rank these players by career home runs in a Mariner uniform:

Bucky Jacobsen: 9 (all in 2004)

Scott Spiezio: 11 (10 in 2004, 1 in 2005)

Jose Vidro: 13 (6 in 2007, 7 in 2008)

Dae-Ho Lee: 14 (all in 2016)

Scoring: 20 points for all four in order, 10 points for two guys in the correct spots, 1 point for one guy in the correct spot

  1. “You runnin your mouth, but don’t really know what you’re talking about. You should retire, get that complimentary watch, be out!” Talib Kweli on Hater Players (Black Star album)

Jeremy Reed was involved in two important trades in Mariners history.

Who are the two players traded away to acquire Jeremy Reed in 2005?

Answer: Freddy Garcia, 5 points and Ben Davis, 10 points

Name two players that were traded in tandem with Jeremy Reed in 2005 and the three in tandem with Reed in 2008

Answers: Two in 2005 are Miguel Olivo and Mike Morse. The three in 2008 are JJ Putz, Sean Green and Luis Valbuena. (10 points each)

Name at least one of the six players the Mariners acquired in the 2008 trade

Answers include: Franklin Gutierrez, Jason Vargas, Mike Carp, Endy Chavez, Ezequiel Carrera, Maikel Cleto. 5 points for Guti, 10 points for Vargas, Carp, Endy, or Carrera, 20 points for Cleto

6.”All of this is the obvious, I was just linin up. Huh! And now they wanna bring the 90’s back. That’s ok cause that’s where they design me at” Speakers on Blast – Skyzoo

Safeco Field was designed in the 90s and its first game was July 15, 1999. Who hit the first home run in the new stadium during that game?

Answer: Russ Davis. (10 points)

Bonus Questions:

1.Who had the third best season by fWAR in 2011? (24 seconds)

Answer: Dustin Ackley (3.0) (5 points)

2.Who had the most steals in a single season from 2007-16?

Answer: Ichiro with 43. 10 points by year, 5 points by name

3.Who had the most saves in a single season from 2007-16? 2014 Rodney, 48 saves (Mariners record). (10 points by year, 5 points by name)

4.Did Kenji Johjima hit more or less home runs in his Mariners career than Nelson Cruz hit in either 2015 or 2016?

Bonus questions will be done at the end. Answers will be texted to Tyler.

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Swipe Me Down: A Look at the Mariners Speedsters that will Steal your Heart

In terms of aesthetic cache, stolen bases are perhaps the most exciting play in baseball. Especially if it’s in a high-leverage situation:

That’s Jerrod Dyson. He is fast, and very few players in Major League Baseball are faster. He is good at stealing the bags. He is on the Seattle Mariners roster. How many bases will he snatch in 2017?

Here are Dyson’s plate appearances from 2012-2016: 330, 239, 290, 225, 337

That is an average of 284.2 plate appearances per season. He has never appeared in more than 120 games in a regular season. Mariners manager Scott Servais said he welcomes the “edge” that Dyson brings. Mariners General Manager Jerry Dipoto gushed about Dyson’s defense and base-stealing ability after making the trade. Dyson has the starting left field job. He does have a hefty career platoon split (90 wRC+ vs. right-handed pitching, 65 wRC+ vs. left-handed pitching), so it is preferable that he not play a full 162 games, but this could be the first season where he has a chance to have a starting spot from Opening Day. If he does get a full season of plate appearances, his 50th percentile PECOTA projection of 60 stolen bases in 572 plate appearances does not look nearly as crazy. He is that fast. If Dyson plays even gets 450 plate appearances, he has a legitimate chance to steal more bases than any Mariner since Ichiro in 2009, when Ichiro stole 43. Ichiro also stole 56 in his rookie season, which is the number of steals the molasses-footed 2016 Mariners stole as a team. Ichiro was good.

The fun thing about Dyson’s potential stolen base total this year is that he is not the only speedy guy on the roster. Jean Segura stole 33 bases last season in Arizona and Leonys Martín led the Mariners last season with 24 steals. The Mariners have a chance to meet a wonderfully arbitrary minimum of three players with more than 20 steals on one roster.If you apply this wonderfully arbitrary minimum of three players with more than 20+ stolen bases in a single season on the same team from 1977-2016. In terms of team success, possessing three guys with 20+ stolen bases does not guarantee a successful season. If you apply the wonderfully arbitrary minimum to teams from 2000-2016, those 52 teams had an average winning percentage of .517, which would equate to about 83-84 wins in a 162 game season. The Mariners have had six seasons where they have met this threshold in their history, but only three from 2000-2016:

2010: Ichiro 42, Chone Figgins 42, Franklin Gutierrez 25

2001: Ichiro 56, Mark Mclemore 39, Mike Cameron 34

2000: Rickey Henderson 31, Mark Mclemore 30, Mike Cameron 24

1999: Brian Hunter 44, Ken Griffey, Jr. 24, Alex Rodriguez 21

1987: Harold Reynolds 60, Phil Bradley 40, John Moses 23, Donel Nixon 21

1986: Harold Reynolds 30, John Moses 23, Phil Bradley 21

The funniest thing about the 52 team sample is that the Mariners have the team with the most wins (2001) in the sample and the fewest wins in the sample (2010). The Mariners did everything well in 2001. I was in third grade, so I remember it in a vague way. The 2001 team was the first full season that I remember as a Mariners fan.The Mariners did everything terribly in 2010, so I remember that season in a different vague way. The 2010 team was the most disappointing season as a Mariners fan, both from a single season standpoint and for the ensuing haphazard Jack Zduriencik team-building from 2011-2015 that followed the 2010 abomination. The fact the Mariners have three guys with good chances for 20+ stolen bases this season does not help us learn if this team will actually be any good.

Of course, the thing about the arbitrary minimum of teams with three guys with 20+ stolen bases in the same season is that it eliminates the context of the rest of the roster. This 2017 Mariners roster is far more diversified than the 2010 team, or even the 2016 team. Even if Dyson underperforms for any reason, there are replacements who ~should~ be competent. I am a fan of Guillermo Heredia, and Ben Gamel is competent in the field at the very least. He makes contact at the plate and has a bit of speed as well. Tyler O’Neill could potentially continue mashing Minor League pitching into a pulp and make his way up by the end of the season. Add this to the fact that Mariners offense was the second best in the MLB on a mashing basis last season, and looks to bring the thunder in 2017 with the additions of Danny Valencia/Dan Vogelbach and Mitch Haniger to accompany the Robinson Cano-Nelson Cruz-Kyle Seager lineup core, and the Mariners are not relying on Dyson/Segura/Martín to dash their way to runs for a weak hitting team. These three guys will be wreaking havoc and making teams uncomfortable alongside the big bats in the lineup.

Teams with three guys with 20 or more steals may not necessarily be correlated with playoff runs, but Dyson/Segura/Martín gives Mariners fans a triumvirate that can be a problem on the bases for opposing teams for the first time in several years. A triumvirate that will be entertaining in a manner that Mariners fans have not been accustomed to in the last 16 seasons. Whether it ends in disappointment like 2010 or ends as the most successful season in team history like 2017 remains to be seen.* But pitchers will want zero problems with this year’s speedy triumvirate, big fella.

*newsflash: it probably will not end at either extreme

Thanks to the Baseball Reference Play Index for always being a great resource to find fun facts with wonderfully arbitrary minimums and endpoints. 

11th Inning Podcast Episode 9: Be Bold

Joseph and Tyler explain the podcast name change before diving into some bold predictions for the upcoming 2017 season. Professor Joseph makes an appearance, and he also introduces a new challenge segment: Alternative Facts. As always, good beer is being enjoyed throughout the entire recording.

Podcast Rundown:

4:40 — We explain the new name for the podcast

6:40 — How is a prediction bold?

7:38 — Tyler’s Bold Prediction #1

14:50 — Joseph’s Bold Prediction #1 and Professor Joseph

30:32 — Tyler’s Bold Prediction #2

39:00 — Joseph’s Bold Prediction #2

45:00-55:55 — ALTERNATIVE FACTS

49:30 — Jamie Moyer did end his career on the Rockies. Point for Tyler.

50:00 — Who led the 2010 Mariners in home runs? This answer hurt my soul.

52:00 — The last alternative fact includes the famous names of Jered Weaver, Jesus Sucre, Norichika Aoki, and Wily Mo Pena. How are they all connected?

55:55 — Joseph’s Bold Prediction #3

58:38 — Tyler’s Bold Prediction #3

1:01 — Joseph’s ridiculous final bold prediction

Thanks for listening everyone. Follow the podcast Twitter Account @The11thInning and follow us on twitter @tylerbradley9 and @joeyvictor24

The Felix Hernandez Debate

Is Felix Hernandez going to be FELIX HERNANDEZ in 2017? Joseph and Tyler have differing opinions on the matter in Episode 8 of the newly named The Eleventh Inning Podcast. After diving into the Felix Hernandez dilemma, two head-to-head comparisons take place: Drew Smyly vs. James Paxton and Robinson Cano vs. Jean Segura.

Also, Professor Joseph has his knowledge put to the test with some Mariners trivia. The game in question for Professor Joseph is from August 4, 2005.

Follow us on twitter: @joeyvictor24 and @tylerbradley9

SoundCloud: https://soundcloud.com/11inningpod

 

JDFC Episode 7: For the Culture

You all have been introduced to Professor Joseph, but this episode introduces you to journalist Joseph. What did he see when he was at FanFest? Did he get to ask the namesake of our podcast a question?

How important is a culture change to a winning ball club? From the linked Seattle Times article by Ryan Divish:

“It didn’t matter if it was general manager Jerry Dipoto, manager Scott Servais or director of player development Andy McKay, or even holdovers such as assistant general manager Jeff Kingston and director of scouting Tom Allison. They share a belief that better and more consistent communication will lead to a culture change within the organization and success on the field.”

Joseph Victor and I discuss this topic after last week’s Mariners media day and FanFest. There is also a tribute to departed Mariner Dae-Ho Lee, which fans of Joseph’s musical talent will certainly not want to miss.

 

Also, here is the Jean Segura article that I was thinking of around the 9-minute-mark of the podcast: http://www.fanragsports.com/mlb/why-jean-segura-wont-regress-in-seattle/